Current Water Anomalies: Syria and Iraq

Composite water anomaly index map Syria and Iraq  Mar 2015 - May 2015. Blues indicate more water than usual, reds less water than usual. Units are in “return period” (the inverse of the probability of seeing an anomaly of that magnitude or…

Composite water anomaly index map Syria and Iraq  Mar 2015 - May 2015. Blues indicate more water than usual, reds less water than usual. Units are in “return period” (the inverse of the probability of seeing an anomaly of that magnitude or worse).

ISIS operates in a swath of territory including eastern Syria and western Iraq.  The map depicts water anomalies forecast for March through May 2015.  Much of the region will be drier than normal, with a significant area in western Iraq experiencing deficits with return periods of 20 years or more.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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