Watching: United States and Canada; Mexico, Central America, and the Caribbean; South America; Europe; Africa; Middle East; Central Asia and Russia; South Asia; East Asia; Southeast Asia and the Pacific; Australia.
This map presents a selection of regions likely to encounter significant water anomalies during the one year period beginning in November 2015 and running through October 2016 using 3 months of observed temperature and precipitation data and 9 months of forecast data.
Regional details are available in ISciences' Global Water Monitor & Forecast February 15, 2015 (pdf).
United States and Canada: Widespread moderate to extreme deficits are forecast in the US for Montana, Wyoming, North Dakota, Minnesota, Michigan, much of the Mississippi Valley, and New England. Surpluses are forecast for the Southern Plains, east Texas, and southern Florida. Both deficits and surpluses are expected in in the Pacific Northwest, and parts of the Southeast. The outlook for Canada indicates widespread water deficits across the country with pockets of exceptional deficits expected in parts of British Columbia, Alberta, Manitoba, Ontario, Quebec, New Brunswick, and Newfoundland.
Mexico, Central America, and the Caribbean: Water deficits are forecast to emerge on the Baja Peninsula and will continue to emerge in southern Mexico with exceptional severity. Surpluses are forecast to re-emerge in Sonora and persist in the eastern Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, and central Cuba. Moderate deficits are forecast to persist in southern Guatemala, and exceptional deficits are expected to emerge in Jamaica in the latter portion of the forecast period.
South America: Exceptional water deficits are forecast to persist across northern South America. Severe to exceptional surpluses are forecast for southern Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay, and Argentina, and are expected to increase in extent throughout the forecast period.
Europe: Severe to exceptional water deficits are forecast to emerge throughout Mediterranean Europe with greatest extent and severity in eastern Spain, Corsica, Sardinia, Italy, southern Greece, and Crete. Deficits are also forecast in Finland and the Baltics. Exceptional surpluses are forecast for Ireland and northern United Kingdom.
Africa: Water deficits are forecast to dominate Northwest Africa, coastal West Africa and southern Africa. Exceptional surpluses are expected in East Africa, particularly in Uganda, Kenya and Tanzania. Surpluses are forecast to emerge in Ethiopia, Sudan, and the Sahel during the latter portion of the forecast period.
Middle East: Widespread moderate to exceptional water deficits are forecast across much of the Middle East and Turkey. Surpluses are forecast along the Iraq-Iran border and a small region in northeast Turkey.
Central Asia and Russia: Exceptional water surpluses are forecast along rivers in Kazakhstan and in central Russia from the Volga River through the Ural Mountains to the western edge of the Central Siberian Plateau. Water deficits are expected in Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Tajikistan.
South Asia: The forecast indicates a patchwork of varying water conditions in the region. Deficits are forecast for western Afghanistan and surpluses are forecast in the east. Deficits are forecast for much of Pakistan and much of northern India. Surpluses are forecast for Jammu and Kashmir, southeastern India and Sri Lanka. Both deficits and surpluses are forecast in many areas.
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Moderate to exceptional water deficits are forecast for many parts of Southeast Asia and the Pacific. Deficits are expected to be most persistent, widespread, and severe in Southeast Asia, Sumatra, eastern Borneo, the southern Philippines, and Papua, New Guinea. Surpluses are forecast for western Borneo and Java.
East Asia: Moderate to exceptional water surpluses are forecast to persist in southeast China. Moderate deficits are forecast for northeast China, and both deficits and surpluses are forecast in western regions including the Tibetan Plateau.
- April 2017
- March 2017
- February 2017
- January 2017
- December 2016
- November 2016
- October 2016
- September 2016
- August 2016
- July 2016
- June 2016
- May 2016
- April 2016
- March 2016
- February 2016
- January 2016
- December 2015
- November 2015
- October 2015
- September 2015
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- July 2015
- June 2015
- May 2015
- April 2015
- March 2015