The ISciences Global Water Monitor and Forecast Watch List provides monthly reports of data collected by our Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM), which monitors and forecasts water anomalies on a global basis.
The forecast for April 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of January 2024 through December 2024 in South America, northeastern Africa, and the Middle East. Areas expected to experience surplus include eastern to eastern Africa, northern Australia, Europe, and Southeast Asia.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will persist in northwestern regions of China, but lessen in size in northern and northeastern China. Surpluses occurring in Tibet are also expected to remain but diminish in size.
The forecast indicates that deficits will persist throughout Mainland Southeast Asia, but decrease in intensity, becoming mostly moderate to severe anomalies. Intense surplus is expected to expand throughout Maritime Southeast Asia, particularly in central Indonesia, Papua, and Papua New Guinea.
The forecast for April 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of January 2024 through December 2024 in South America, northeastern Africa, and the Middle East. Areas expected to experience surplus include eastern to eastern Africa, northern Australia, Europe, and Southeast Asia.
The forecast for March 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of December 2023 through November 2024 in northeastern Africa, South America, Canada, and southern regions of the Middle East. Areas expected to experience surplus include eastern to southeastern Africa, Europe, northern Australia, and Southeast Asia.
The forecast for February 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of November 2023 through October 2024 in northeastern Africa, South America, southern regions of the Middle East, and the majority of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include eastern Africa, Europe, and Southeast Asia.
The forecast for January 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of October 2023 through September 2024 in northeastern Africa, northern South America, the Middle East, western and northern South America, and the majority of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include southeastern Africa, Europe, and western Central Asia.
The forecast for December 2023 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of September 2023 through August 2024 throughout Canada, central to northern South America, northern and southern Africa, and southern regions of the Middle East. Areas expected to experience surplus include southeastern Africa, Europe, and several regions in Southeast Asia.
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