Egypt

Heavy rainfall eases GERD tensions

Heavy rainfall eases GERD tensions

Abundant rainfall during Ethiopia’s rainy season July through September 2020 filled the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) allowing sufficient release to placate downstream neighbors, but future peace depends on more than short-lived water surpluses.

Africa: Intense water deficits ahead for central Somalia

Africa: Intense water deficits ahead for central Somalia

The forecast through March 2020 indicates that water deficits in Africa will shrink and downgrade considerably, but exceptional deficits will emerge from central Somalia into Ethiopia. Surpluses in East Africa will remain widespread, particularly in Tanzania and Kenya. Other areas with a forecast of surplus include the Nile River through Egypt and nations on the north coast of the Gulf of Guinea.

Africa: Water deficits will shrink & downgrade

Africa: Water deficits will shrink & downgrade

The forecast through November indicates that water deficits will shrink and downgrade considerably, particularly in the south, where merely mild deficits are expected. Moderate to exceptional deficits are forecast across the north and along the southwest bank of the Red Sea. Surpluses will persist in pockets of the western Sahel, emerge in pockets around the Gulf of Guinea, and increase in East Africa around Tanzania.