Africa
ISciences staff
Africa: Surplus expands throughout Sahel, E ...

The forecast anticipates exceptional deficits to continue in northern and northwestern African countries, as well as some central and southern countries. Intense surpluses are expected to emerge in areas throughout the Sahel.

Africa: Surplus expands throughout Sahel, E Africa
Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surplus persists ...

The forecast indicates that intense surplus will occur in most northern and central regions of Australia, with exceptional deficits diminishing in portions of the country near its western coast. Exceptional deficits are expected to emerge in Tasmania, as well as in pockets across New Zealand. 

Australia & New Zealand: Surplus persists in N, SE Australia
East Asia
ISciences staff
East Asia: Deficits continue in N, S, and NW ...

The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will mostly dissipate in northeastern China, but continue in northern, southern, and northwestern portions of the country. Exceptional surplus is expected to diminish in southwestern China, though moderate to severe surpluses may continue in eastern regions of the country. 

East Asia: Deficits continue in N, S, and NW China
Southeast Asia & Pacific
ISciences staff
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Widespread ...

The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits in Mainland Southeast Asia will persist but lessen in size, while intense surpluses will expand throughout Maritime Southeast Asia. 

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Widespread surplus throughout Maritime Southeast Asia
South Asia
ISciences staff
South Asia: Widespread surplus to emerge ...

The forecast anticipates a widespread emergence of surplus in India, with the most intense concentrations appearing in central, southern, and eastern regions of the country. Exceptional deficits are expected in regions of Afghanistan and Pakistan. 

South Asia: Widespread surplus to emerge throughout India

Laos

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Intense surplus forecast in Java & C Vietnam

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Intense surplus forecast in Java & C Vietnam

The forecast through August indicates that, while water surpluses will shrink and downgrade, many areas will persist, including exceptional surpluses in central Vietnam and Java. Areas of deficit include Medan, Sumatra, and New Guinea’s north coast.

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Widespread water surplus to persist in SE Asia

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Widespread water surplus to persist in SE Asia

The forecast through January 2021 indicates widespread, intense water surpluses in Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, and eastern Thailand. Surpluses of lesser intensity are expected in the Philippines and eastern Indonesia. Deficits are forecast for pockets in northern Thailand.

Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook September 2020

Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook September 2020

The September Outlook indicates warmer than normal temperatures across much of the vast expanse of Russia. Exceptionally hotter conditions are forecast from Southeast Asia into China and from the Levant north into Ukraine and southern Russia. Uganda will be much wetter than normal and Chile will be much drier than normal south of Santiago.

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Thailand & Cambodia to transition out of water deficit

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Thailand & Cambodia to transition out of water deficit

The forecast through August 2019 indicates that intense water deficits in Thailand and Cambodia will disappear leaving mild deficits or nearly normal conditions. Surpluses will shrink considerably in Myanmar, Laos, Vietnam, and Indonesia, transitioning to deficits in Borneo, Sumatra, and Java. Deficits will downgrade in Papua New Guinea but will be severe.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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