The forecast for May 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of February 2024 through January 2025 in South America, Africa, and Canada. Areas expected to experience surplus include central to eastern Africa, northern Australia, Europe, and Southeast Asia.
The forecast anticipates exceptional deficits to continue in northern and northwestern African countries, as well as some central and southern countries. Intense surpluses are expected to emerge in areas throughout the Sahel.
The forecast indicates that intense surplus will occur in most northern and central regions of Australia, with exceptional deficits diminishing in portions of the country near its western coast. Exceptional deficits are expected to emerge in Tasmania, as well as in pockets across New Zealand.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will mostly dissipate in northeastern China, but continue in northern, southern, and northwestern portions of the country. Exceptional surplus is expected to diminish in southwestern China, though moderate to severe surpluses may continue in eastern regions of the country.
The forecast for June 2023 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of March 2023 through February 2024 in much of South America, central and southern Africa, and much of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include the southwestern and western United States, western South Asia, and various areas of Russia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) 7 June 2023.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of February 2023 through January 2024 include the central and Southern Cone region of South America, much of Canada’s provinces, and various areas of Russia. Areas expected to experience surplus include the southwestern and western United States, and eastern South Asia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) 5 May 2023.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of January 2023 through December 2023 include the central and Southern Cone region of South America, much of Canada’s provinces, Africa, and the Middle East. Areas expected to experience surplus include the southwestern United States, eastern South Asia, and central Russia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) 7 April 2023.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period December 2022 through November 2023 include: Canada, the Middle East, Chile, Argentina, Uruguay, and China. Areas of significant water surplus include: the western United States, Pakistan, Malaysia, central Africa, and southeastern Australia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) 7 March 2023.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period November 2022 through October 2023 include: Canada, Chile, Argentina, Uruguay, the Middle East, and China. Areas of significant water surplus include: Pakistan, Thailand, the Philippines, central Africa, and southeastern Australia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) 6 February 2023.
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