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We help you understand environmental and human security issues, impacts, vulnerability, indications and warnings.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will mostly dissipate in northeastern China, but continue in northern, southern, and northwestern portions of the country. Exceptional surplus is expected to diminish in southwestern China, though moderate to severe surpluses may continue in eastern regions of the country.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits in Mainland Southeast Asia will persist but lessen in size, while intense surpluses will expand throughout Maritime Southeast Asia.
The forecast anticipates a widespread emergence of surplus in India, with the most intense concentrations appearing in central, southern, and eastern regions of the country. Exceptional deficits are expected in regions of Afghanistan and Pakistan.
The forecast expects exceptional deficits in western and eastern Russia to mostly diminish, but still linger in isolated areas. Similar deficits are expected to continue northwest of Lake Baikal. Intense surplus is anticipated in regions of northern Kazakhstan and northeastern Russia, as are exceptional deficits in Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan.
The forecast anticipates exceptional deficits in Saudi Arabia, Yemen, and Oman to broaden in size. Similar deficits are expected to continue throughout Iran, as well as arise in Iraq and Turkey. Western Yemen is expected to experience exceptional surplus.
The forecast indicates that some intense surpluses in Continental Europe will dissipate, while some will continue in western and central Europe, the Nordic Countries, and the United Kingdom. Intense deficits are anticipated in southern portions of Continental Europe.
The forecast anticipates exceptional deficits to remain widespread throughout Brazil, as well as in pockets throughout the Bolivarian Nations. Some surplus is expected to intensify in eastern coastal regions of Brazil.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will decrease in size throughout Mexico, but remain in northwestern and eastern parts of the country. Similarly intense deficits are expected to arise in portions of Guatemala and Honduras.
The forecast anticipates exceptional deficits to lessen in size throughout most provinces, but remain in the West Coast, Prairie Provinces, and some provinces in the North region.
The forecast indicates that many exceptional deficits in the United States will diminish, though some will persist as anomalies of lesser intensity in the Upper Midwest and some regions of the South. Intense surplus is anticipated in some western states, as well as in most of Alaska and Puerto Rico.
The ISciences Global Water Monitor and Forecast Watch List provides monthly reports of data collected by our Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM), which monitors and forecasts water anomalies on a global basis.
The forecast for April 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of January 2024 through December 2024 in South America, northeastern Africa, and the Middle East. Areas expected to experience surplus include eastern to eastern Africa, northern Australia, Europe, and Southeast Asia.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will persist in northwestern regions of China, but lessen in size in northern and northeastern China. Surpluses occurring in Tibet are also expected to remain but diminish in size.
The forecast indicates that deficits will persist throughout Mainland Southeast Asia, but decrease in intensity, becoming mostly moderate to severe anomalies. Intense surplus is expected to expand throughout Maritime Southeast Asia, particularly in central Indonesia, Papua, and Papua New Guinea.
The forecast indicates that most exceptional deficits in Pakistan and Afghanistan will dissipate, though some regions are expected to experience lingering deficits. India is expected to observe widespread surplus throughout the country.
The forecast indicates that widespread exceptional deficits in western Russia will mostly subside, though similarly intense deficits will emerge in southeastern Russia. Surpluses are expected to dissipate in east-central Russia in areas near Lake Baikal, with surpluses of equal intensity emerging in southwestern Russia and northern Uzbekistan.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will resolve in some regions of the Bolivarian Nations, but remain widespread throughout much of Brazil and some northern and central regions of the continent.
The forecast indicates that most intense deficits throughout Mexico and Central America will diminish. However, exceptional deficits will persist in northwestern and east-central regions of Mexico. Regions within the Yucatan Peninsula and Central America can anticipate moderate to severe surplus.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will expand in size throughout southern regions of the Middle East, as well as throughout Iraq and Iran. Intense surplus is expected to arise in western Yemen.
The forecast indicates that intense surplus will occur in most northern and central regions of Australia, with exceptional deficits diminishing in portions of the country near its western coast. Exceptional deficits are expected to emerge in Tasmania, as well as in pockets across New Zealand.