The February 2021 forecast indicates exceptionally hotter than normal temperatures in a broad column down central Brazil, and a vast extent in China from the Shandong Peninsula to Macau. Parts of central Brazil will also be drier than normal.

The forecast through March 2021 indicates that water deficits will increase and intensify in southern Manitoba and southeastern Saskatchewan. Exceptional deficits will persist in many regions of eastern Canada. Surpluses are forecast in southern British Columbia and around Calgary, Alberta.

The forecast through March 2021 indicates a vast expanse of intense water deficit in Russia from the Gulf of Ob through the Central Siberian Plateau. Surpluses are forecast in the Ob River Watershed, along the Upper and Middle Yenisei River, and the Volga.

The forecast through March 2021 indicates that water surpluses will remain widespread in the Yellow and Yangtze River Watersheds, shrinking south of the Yangtze. Deficits are forecast for China’s coastal southeast, Taiwan, Japan, and South Korea, and surpluses in North Korea.

The forecast through March 2021 indicates that water deficits will retreat, persisting in Australia’s southwestern tip and coastal Victoria. Areas of surplus include pockets in the Murray-Darling Basin and across northern Australia. Conditions in New Zealand will normalize.

The forecast through March 2021 indicates that widespread water anomalies will shrink. Severe to exceptional deficits will persist in western Turkey and Georgia, and surpluses will persist in Iran around Lake Urmia and along the Caspian Coast. Exceptional surpluses will re-emerge in Syria.

The forecast through March 2021 indicates widespread, intense surpluses in Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos, eastern and southern Thailand, and the Philippines. Areas of deficit include northern Thailand, central Sulawesi, and Papua New Guinea’s northwestern coast.

The forecast through March 2021 indicates that water deficits will shrink and downgrade. Deficits in North Africa will be mild to moderate overall. Surpluses will continue in the eastern Sahel, but transitions will begin in the west. Surpluses will persist in East Africa and emerge in south-central Africa.

The forecast through March 2021 indicates persistent water deficits of varying intensity in much of Mexico, with surpluses in the Yucatán and nearby southern states. Surpluses will persist throughout Central America, Jamaica, and the Bahamas.

The forecast through March 2021 indicates widespread water surpluses in western European Russia, the Nordic nations, England, and from Switzerland through Romania. Deficits will persist in Estonia, Latvia, Germany, Belgium, and Macedonia.

The forecast through March 2021 indicates that widespread, intense water surpluses will persist in India’s Deccan Plateau, Bangladesh, eastern Nepal, and Afghanistan. Moderate deficits will emerge in western Rajasthan. Transitional conditions are expected from Gujarat into Karnataka.

The forecast through March 2021 indicates that water deficits will shrink considerably but will remain widespread in Brazil and Chile, and widespread surpluses will emerge across the northern portion of the continent. Deficits will be intense in many regions of Brazil and southern Chile.