The forecast through August indicates that water deficits will moderate in Mangystau, Kazakhstan; increase in Turkmenistan; and emerge in Irkutsk Oblast, Russia, and in Surgut on the Ob River. Surpluses will persist in the Western Siberian Plain.
Central Asia & Russia: Exceptional deficits will emerge in Mangystau
Central Asia & Russia: Water surpluses to intensify in the Northern European Plain
The forecast through October indicates that water surpluses will intensify in the Northern European Plain in Russia and will persist in the Ob River Basin. Deficits are forecast along the central coasts of the Gulf of Ob, and in the regions of the Nizhnyaya Tunguska and the Podkamennaya Tunguska Rivers. Surpluses are forecast in western and eastern Uzbekistan, northern and western Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and central Tajikistan.
Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook for October 2016
The October Outlook indicates a large expanse of exceptionally warmer than normal temperatures forecast from Quebec into Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada, and coastal West Africa, along with widespread significant warm anomalies in Western Europe, Russia, and Southeast Asia. Exceptional dry anomalies are forecast for Guinea-Bissau and western Guinea. Areas with a forecast of wet anomalies include Colombia, Peru, Gabon, Java, and northern Australia.