The forecast through February 2026 expects deficits in Central and Eastern Europe, Central Asia, and the Levant. Surpluses are expected in the western Amazon, the Sahel and southern Africa, and northeastern Australia.
Severe to exceptional surpluses will remain throughout Queensland. Exceptional deficits will occur in portions of Victoria, Western Australia, Tasmania, and New Zealand.
Exceptional deficits will occur in northwestern and southeastern China, widespread throughout the Yangtze River Basin. Isolated pockets of surplus will affect portions of central and northeastern China.
Exceptional surpluses throughout Maritime Southeast Asia will mostly diminish, though pockets of severe to exceptional deficits will persist in portions of the Philippines, Indonesia, Papua, West Papua, and New Guinea.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period July 2022 through June 2023 include the Yangtze River Basin and Southeast China, North Africa, and Europe. Areas of significant water surplus include Pakistan, India, and Southeast Asia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) 6 October 2022.
Our October 2022 Outlook indicates that much of Australia’s northern half will be wetter than normal, particularly the Kimberley in Western Australia and Queensland’s Central West. A number of regions around the world can expect exceptionally hotter than normal temperatures, including the southern Arabian Peninsula.
For more information contact info@isciences.com.
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