The forecast through February 2026 expects deficits in Central and Eastern Europe, Central Asia, and the Levant. Surpluses are expected in the western Amazon, the Sahel and southern Africa, and northeastern Australia.
Severe to exceptional surpluses will remain throughout Queensland. Exceptional deficits will occur in portions of Victoria, Western Australia, Tasmania, and New Zealand.
Exceptional deficits will occur in northwestern and southeastern China, widespread throughout the Yangtze River Basin. Isolated pockets of surplus will affect portions of central and northeastern China.
Exceptional surpluses throughout Maritime Southeast Asia will mostly diminish, though pockets of severe to exceptional deficits will persist in portions of the Philippines, Indonesia, Papua, West Papua, and New Guinea.
The forecast through May 2023 indicates that surpluses in southeastern Australia will persist, though much of the anomalies in New South Wales will change to intense transitional conditions. Surpluses in northern New Zealand are expected to remain, as are intense deficits in southwestern New Zealand.
The forecast through May 2023 predicts that a few areas of exceptional anomalies in northern Africa are expected to subside into mild to moderate deficits, though continuing in Egypt and Libya. Exceptional deficits in the Horn of Africa are expected to become exceptional surpluses. Much of the southern Sahel can expect intense surpluses to persist.
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