The forecast through February 2026 expects deficits in Central and Eastern Europe, Central Asia, and the Levant. Surpluses are expected in the western Amazon, the Sahel and southern Africa, and northeastern Australia.
Severe to exceptional surpluses will remain throughout Queensland. Exceptional deficits will occur in portions of Victoria, Western Australia, Tasmania, and New Zealand.
Exceptional deficits will occur in northwestern and southeastern China, widespread throughout the Yangtze River Basin. Isolated pockets of surplus will affect portions of central and northeastern China.
Exceptional surpluses throughout Maritime Southeast Asia will mostly diminish, though pockets of severe to exceptional deficits will persist in portions of the Philippines, Indonesia, Papua, West Papua, and New Guinea.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period August 2022 through July 2023 include: North Africa, Chile, Southeast China, and Europe. Areas of significant water surplus include: Pakistan, Southeast Asia, and southeastern Australia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) 7 November 2022.
Our November 2022 Global Precipitation and Temperature Outlook indicates that several regions of the world will experience exceptionally hotter than normal temperatures, including northeastern Russia, eastern North America, southern South America, central Asia, and the majority of Europe, Oceania, and the Middle East.
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