The forecast through February 2026 expects deficits in Central and Eastern Europe, Central Asia, and the Levant. Surpluses are expected in the western Amazon, the Sahel and southern Africa, and northeastern Australia.
Severe to exceptional surpluses will remain throughout Queensland. Exceptional deficits will occur in portions of Victoria, Western Australia, Tasmania, and New Zealand.
Exceptional deficits will occur in northwestern and southeastern China, widespread throughout the Yangtze River Basin. Isolated pockets of surplus will affect portions of central and northeastern China.
Exceptional surpluses throughout Maritime Southeast Asia will mostly diminish, though pockets of severe to exceptional deficits will persist in portions of the Philippines, Indonesia, Papua, West Papua, and New Guinea.
The forecast anticipates surpluses to strengthen in southernmost regions of India, with moderate to severe surpluses remaining in western and west-central states of the country. Pockets of deficit throughout eastern India and Bangladesh are expected to diminish, while deficit in southern Afghanistan and northwestern Pakistan is expected to continue, but decrease in size.
The forecast for December 2023 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of September 2023 through August 2024 throughout Canada, central to northern South America, northern and southern Africa, and southern regions of the Middle East. Areas expected to experience surplus include southeastern Africa, Europe, and several regions in Southeast Asia.
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