The forecast through February 2026 expects deficits in Central and Eastern Europe, Central Asia, and the Levant. Surpluses are expected in the western Amazon, the Sahel and southern Africa, and northeastern Australia.
Severe to exceptional surpluses will remain throughout Queensland. Exceptional deficits will occur in portions of Victoria, Western Australia, Tasmania, and New Zealand.
Exceptional deficits will occur in northwestern and southeastern China, widespread throughout the Yangtze River Basin. Isolated pockets of surplus will affect portions of central and northeastern China.
Exceptional surpluses throughout Maritime Southeast Asia will mostly diminish, though pockets of severe to exceptional deficits will persist in portions of the Philippines, Indonesia, Papua, West Papua, and New Guinea.
The forecast for July 2023 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of April 2023 through March 2024 in northern and southern Africa, Central Asia, and much of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include the southwestern and western United States, northern Australia, and various areas of Russia.
Our July 2023 Global Precipitation and Temperature Outlook anticipates exceptionally warm temperatures throughout many regions worldwide, including South America, Africa, Mexico, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East. Some exceptional precipitation deficits are expected to occur in South America, and South Asia, with equally intense surpluses occurring across Australia.
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