The forecast anticipates exceptional deficits to continue in northern and northwestern African countries, as well as some central and southern countries. Intense surpluses are expected to emerge in areas throughout the Sahel.
The forecast indicates that intense surplus will occur in most northern and central regions of Australia, with exceptional deficits diminishing in portions of the country near its western coast. Exceptional deficits are expected to emerge in Tasmania, as well as in pockets across New Zealand.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will mostly dissipate in northeastern China, but continue in northern, southern, and northwestern portions of the country. Exceptional surplus is expected to diminish in southwestern China, though moderate to severe surpluses may continue in eastern regions of the country.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits in Mainland Southeast Asia will persist but lessen in size, while intense surpluses will expand throughout Maritime Southeast Asia.
The forecast through July indicates that water surpluses will shrink considerably overall but remain widespread and intense in Pakistan and Afghanistan. Areas of surplus in India include the Far North, central Rajasthan, and Karnataka. Deficits will intensify in India’s Far Northeast and emerge in coastal Maharashtra.
The forecast through June indicates that widespread water surpluses in India will shrink leaving nearly normal conditions in the east. Surpluses will persist, however, in many regions including central India, the Far North, and the Gangetic Plain; and, Pakistan and Afghanistan. Deficits will emerge in India’s Far Northeast.
The forecast through March 2020 indicates that water surpluses of varying intensity will continue to dominate the breadth of India with intense anomalies in central Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, western Maharashtra, south-central Karnataka, central Chhattisgarh, and the Far East. Surpluses are also forecast for Bangladesh, Nepal, Bhutan, Sri Lanka, rivers in Pakistan, and central Afghanistan.
Through January 2020 surpluses are forecast for much of the region including exceptional anomalies in India from Mumbai into Kerala, the Narmada River Basin, and central Rajasthan. Surpluses will remain intense throughout Bangladesh and will increase in Afghanistan, with exceptional anomalies forecast in the Upper Helmand River Watershed and around Mazar-e Sharif.
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