The ISciences Global Water Monitor and Forecast Watch List provides monthly reports of data collected by our Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM), which monitors and forecasts water anomalies on a global basis.
The forecast for April 2024 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of January 2024 through December 2024 in South America, northeastern Africa, and the Middle East. Areas expected to experience surplus include eastern to eastern Africa, northern Australia, Europe, and Southeast Asia.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will persist in northwestern regions of China, but lessen in size in northern and northeastern China. Surpluses occurring in Tibet are also expected to remain but diminish in size.
The forecast indicates that deficits will persist throughout Mainland Southeast Asia, but decrease in intensity, becoming mostly moderate to severe anomalies. Intense surplus is expected to expand throughout Maritime Southeast Asia, particularly in central Indonesia, Papua, and Papua New Guinea.
The September Outlook indicates warmer than normal temperatures across much of the vast expanse of Russia. Exceptionally hotter conditions are forecast from Southeast Asia into China and from the Levant north into Ukraine and southern Russia. Uganda will be much wetter than normal and Chile will be much drier than normal south of Santiago.
The forecast through March 2020 indicates that water deficits in the region will retreat considerably, leaving pockets in western Turkey and its central Caspian Coast, Georgia and Azerbaijan, and southwestern Saudi Arabia. Intense surpluses will persist from central into northern Syria; around Mosul, Iraq; and along Iran’s Caspian Sea Coast and border with Turkmenistan.
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