The forecast through February 2026 expects deficits in Central and Eastern Europe, Central Asia, and the Levant. Surpluses are expected in the western Amazon, the Sahel and southern Africa, and northeastern Australia.
Severe to exceptional surpluses will remain throughout Queensland. Exceptional deficits will occur in portions of Victoria, Western Australia, Tasmania, and New Zealand.
Exceptional deficits will occur in northwestern and southeastern China, widespread throughout the Yangtze River Basin. Isolated pockets of surplus will affect portions of central and northeastern China.
Exceptional surpluses throughout Maritime Southeast Asia will mostly diminish, though pockets of severe to exceptional deficits will persist in portions of the Philippines, Indonesia, Papua, West Papua, and New Guinea.
The forecast through March 2020 indicates widespread exceptional water surpluses in Russia from the Northern European Plain into the Western Siberian Plain. Exceptional deficits will persist on the Gulf of Ob and increase in the Nizhnyaya Tunguska River and the Upper Lena River regions. Surpluses are forecast for Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Kostanay in northern Kazakhstan.
The forecast through March 2020 indicates that water deficits in the region will retreat considerably, leaving pockets in western Turkey and its central Caspian Coast, Georgia and Azerbaijan, and southwestern Saudi Arabia. Intense surpluses will persist from central into northern Syria; around Mosul, Iraq; and along Iran’s Caspian Sea Coast and border with Turkmenistan.
The forecast through March 2020 indicates that water deficits in Africa will shrink and downgrade considerably, but exceptional deficits will emerge from central Somalia into Ethiopia. Surpluses in East Africa will remain widespread, particularly in Tanzania and Kenya. Other areas with a forecast of surplus include the Nile River through Egypt and nations on the north coast of the Gulf of Guinea.
The forecast through March 2020 indicates that water deficits will shrink and downgrade in western Ukraine, Belarus, and the Baltics but become exceptional in Moldova, southern Ukraine, eastern Bulgaria, and west-central Poland. Deficits will remain intense in much of Finland. Widespread intense surpluses will persist in northern European Russia. Surpluses in Ireland and the U.K. will moderate.
The forecast through March 2020 indicates that water deficits in the region will shrink considerably. Nearly normal water conditions are forecast for much of the Amazon Basin in Brazil and eastern and southern states, but intense deficits will increase in central Brazil. Deficits will persist in much of Chile. Areas of surplus include Venezuela’s Orinoco Delta, central Colombia, and northern Peru.
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