Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surplus persists ...

The forecast indicates that intense surplus will occur in most northern and central regions of Australia, with exceptional deficits diminishing in portions of the country near its western coast. Exceptional deficits are expected to emerge in Tasmania, as well as in pockets across New Zealand. 

Australia & New Zealand: Surplus persists in N, SE Australia
East Asia
ISciences staff
East Asia: Deficits continue in N, S, and NW ...

The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will mostly dissipate in northeastern China, but continue in northern, southern, and northwestern portions of the country. Exceptional surplus is expected to diminish in southwestern China, though moderate to severe surpluses may continue in eastern regions of the country. 

East Asia: Deficits continue in N, S, and NW China
Southeast Asia & Pacific
ISciences staff
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Widespread ...

The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits in Mainland Southeast Asia will persist but lessen in size, while intense surpluses will expand throughout Maritime Southeast Asia. 

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Widespread surplus throughout Maritime Southeast Asia
South Asia
ISciences staff
South Asia: Widespread surplus to emerge ...

The forecast anticipates a widespread emergence of surplus in India, with the most intense concentrations appearing in central, southern, and eastern regions of the country. Exceptional deficits are expected in regions of Afghanistan and Pakistan. 

South Asia: Widespread surplus to emerge throughout India
Central Asia & Russia
ISciences staff
Central Asia & Russia: Intense surplus in N ...

The forecast expects exceptional deficits in western and eastern Russia to mostly diminish, but still linger in isolated areas. Similar deficits are expected to continue northwest of Lake Baikal. Intense surplus is anticipated in regions of northern Kazakhstan and northeastern Russia, as are exceptional deficits in Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. 

Central Asia & Russia: Intense surplus in N Kazakhstan, NE Russia

Cambodia

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Widespread water surplus to persist in SE Asia

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Widespread water surplus to persist in SE Asia

The forecast through January 2021 indicates widespread, intense water surpluses in Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, and eastern Thailand. Surpluses of lesser intensity are expected in the Philippines and eastern Indonesia. Deficits are forecast for pockets in northern Thailand.

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Exceptional water surplus forecast on Lower Mekong

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Exceptional water surplus forecast on Lower Mekong

The forecast through December indicates that water deficits will nearly disappear. Many areas of surplus are forecast including Vietnam, Laos, eastern Cambodia, and central Indonesia. Surpluses will be exceptional on the Mekong River through Cambodia and Vietnam.

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits to shrink in Thailand

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits to shrink in Thailand

The forecast through August indicates that water deficits will shrink and downgrade leaving surpluses as the predominant anomaly, particularly in Indonesia. Surpluses will be intense in Aceh Province, Sumatra. Deficits in Thailand and Cambodia will nearly disappear.

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits to shrink; surpluses increase

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits to shrink; surpluses increase

The forecast through July indicates that anomalies will shrink and downgrade in Southeast Asia, leaving surpluses in northern and central Vietnam. Surpluses are also forecast for many parts of Indonesia and will be intense in southwestern Sumatra and Flores Island.

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits will downgrade in Thailand

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits will downgrade in Thailand

The forecast through June indicates that water deficits will shrink and downgrade, particularly in Thailand where exceptional deficits will moderate. In Cambodia, a pocket of extreme deficit will persist north of Tonlé Sap. Areas of surplus include western Indonesian Borneo and western Java.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

For more information contact info@isciences.com.

Copyright 2022 ISCIENCES, L.L.C. Global Water Monitor & Forecast Watch List is the property of ISCIENCES, L.L.C. It is protected by U.S. copyright laws and may not be reproduced in any way without the written permission of ISCIENCES, L.L.C. The user assumes the entire risk related to its use of information on ISCIENCES, L.L.C. Web pages, including information derived from Water Security Indicators Model (WSIM). This information may include forecasts, projections and other predictive statements that represent ISCIENCES, L.L.C.’s assumptions and expectations in light of currently available information and using the highest professional standards. Actual results may differ from those projected. Consequently, no guarantee is presented or implied as to the accuracy of specific forecasts, projections or predictive statements contained herein. ISCIENCES, L.L.C. provides such information "as is," and disclaims any and all warranties, whether express or implied, including (without limitation) any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. In no event will ISCIENCES, L.L.C. be liable to you or to any third party for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, special or exemplary damages or lost profit resulting from any use or misuse of this data.