Each month, ISciences reports on significant weather events occurring throughout the world and analyze how accurately our Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) predicted them. In this series, we highlight the most severe global weather events which occurred during the month of April, and discuss the extent of their impact on the affected regions.
Exceptional deficits will remain in northwestern China, while regions of the Yangtze River Basin will observe an expansion of exceptional deficits across the region.
Extreme to exceptional surpluses in India will resolve, leaving moderate surpluses in central and eastern portions of the country. Deficits are expected to spread in portions of Afghanistan, Pakistan, and northern India.
Extreme to exceptional surpluses in Maritime Southeast Asia will diminish, though some regions will observe continuing severe to extreme surpluses. Isolated regions in Mainland Southeast Asia will observe exceptional deficits.
The April Outlook indicates significant deviations from the norm in both precipitation and temperature for Russia. Conditions are forecast to be wetter than normal across a vast band of the Arctic region from the Barents Sea through the Laptev Sea and will include exceptional anomalies. Warmer than normal temperatures are forecast for most of the nation, and exceptional anomalies will dominate from the Ural Mountains to the Sea of Japan.
The February 2020 Outlook indicates exceptionally hotter than normal temperatures across a vast stretch from the Dnieper River in eastern Belarus past the Urals in Russia and well into the Western Siberian Plain through much of the Ob River Watershed. Exceptionally wetter than normal conditions are forecast for the Mahanadi River Basin in Chhattisgarh, India, and in southern Hunan, China.
Much warmer than normal temperatures are indicated in the January 2020 Outlook for Northern and Eastern Europe, Russia, Southeast Asia, and Indonesia. Areas with a forecast of drier than normal conditions include the Balkans while regions around the Bay of Bengal are expected to be wetter than the norm.
The Outlook for December 2019 indicates that conditions throughout India will be much wetter than normal and will include exceptional anomalies. Temperatures along India’s east coast will be warmer than normal, as will temperatures in much of Indonesia. Central Africa is forecast to be cooler than normal.
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