Exceptional deficits throughout the Middle East will decrease in size, but remain present in several regions.
Surpluses in the Sahel and southern Africa will continue. Exceptional deficits in northern and central Africa will diminish in size, but remain in northwestern countries and near the Gulf of Guinea.
Severe to exceptional deficits are expected to continue throughout central and eastern Europe. Surpluses will resolve in most of western Europe, but will remain in Spain, Portugal, and Norway.
The forecast for May 2025 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of February 2025 through January 2026 in northwestern and central Africa, the Middle East, Europe, Brazil, and northwestern to southeastern China. Areas expected to experience surplus include central and southern Africa, northeastern Australia, and portions of the Amazon rainforest.
The forecast through October indicates that water surpluses from the Lower Mississippi region east to the Virginia coasts will shrink considerably, leaving anomalies primarily in Mississippi. Surpluses elsewhere include South Dakota, Nebraska, and western Montana. Deficits will downgrade in the Southwest and Northeast and persist in Florida.
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