The forecast expects exceptional deficits in western and eastern Russia to mostly diminish, but still linger in isolated areas. Similar deficits are expected to continue northwest of Lake Baikal. Intense surplus is anticipated in regions of northern Kazakhstan and northeastern Russia, as are exceptional deficits in Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan.
The forecast anticipates exceptional deficits in Saudi Arabia, Yemen, and Oman to broaden in size. Similar deficits are expected to continue throughout Iran, as well as arise in Iraq and Turkey. Western Yemen is expected to experience exceptional surplus.
The forecast indicates that some intense surpluses in Continental Europe will dissipate, while some will continue in western and central Europe, the Nordic Countries, and the United Kingdom. Intense deficits are anticipated in southern portions of Continental Europe.
The forecast anticipates exceptional deficits to remain widespread throughout Brazil, as well as in pockets throughout the Bolivarian Nations. Some surplus is expected to intensify in eastern coastal regions of Brazil.
Widespread water surpluses observed in prior months will shrink through November. However, a broad column of surplus is forecast from southern North Dakota reaching into north-central Texas with intense anomalies in South Dakota. Other areas of surplus include eastern Nevada into western Utah, Wyoming, and California from San Francisco through the southwest. A pocket of exceptional deficit is expected in the central Everglades.
Water surpluses are forecast to be the dominant anomaly in the U.S. through April 2020. Through October, significant surpluses are forecast from South Dakota into Texas and will be particularly widespread and intense in South Dakota. Surpluses are also expected in parts of the Rockies, pockets in the Southwest, nearly all of California, Michigan, pockets in the Ohio River Valley, and near Tampa Bay, Florida. Areas of deficit include the Pacific Northwest, northern Minnesota, and the Carolinas.
Through September, water surpluses along the Mississippi River, its tributaries, and states on the western bank of the river will moderate, but significant surpluses are forecast in a column from South Dakota through central and eastern Texas and will include extreme to exceptional anomalies in many areas, particularly South Dakota. Areas of deficit include the Pacific Northwest, northwestern Minnesota, the western Upper Peninsula of Michigan, and along the Atlantic coast in North Carolina.
The forecast through August 2019 indicates persistent water surpluses in a wide path through the center of the country in the Mississippi River Basin and well into the Missouri, Arkansas, and Red River Basins, including exceptional anomalies in South Dakota. Surpluses of varying intensity are expected in the Rockies, central Arizona, California, Oregon, and in the Northeast. Deficits are forecast for pockets of Washington, North Dakota, Wisconsin, and southeastern states.
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