The forecast through February 2026 expects deficits in Central and Eastern Europe, Central Asia, and the Levant. Surpluses are expected in the western Amazon, the Sahel and southern Africa, and northeastern Australia.
Severe to exceptional surpluses will remain throughout Queensland. Exceptional deficits will occur in portions of Victoria, Western Australia, Tasmania, and New Zealand.
Exceptional deficits will occur in northwestern and southeastern China, widespread throughout the Yangtze River Basin. Isolated pockets of surplus will affect portions of central and northeastern China.
Exceptional surpluses throughout Maritime Southeast Asia will mostly diminish, though pockets of severe to exceptional deficits will persist in portions of the Philippines, Indonesia, Papua, West Papua, and New Guinea.
The forecast through April indicates water deficits of varying intensity across many regions in northern Africa. Exceptional deficits will retreat from the Horn. Widespread surpluses will persist in East Africa, downgrading slightly. Southern African nations can expect normal conditions or mild deficits.
The forecast through April indicates nearly normal water conditions for Québec City with deficits to the south, deficits near Ottawa and Regina, and surpluses near Toronto and Calgary. Exceptional deficits are forecast for much of northern Quebec. Surpluses are forecast for southern British Columbia.
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