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Europe: Transition ahead from water deficits to surpluses

Water deficits may persist in much of Europe through October, with the exception of Ireland, the United Kingdom, and northern Sweden. The forecast, however, indicates a transition to surpluses in many areas of Western and Central Europe from November 2015 through May 2016. In contrast, water deficits are expected during this time-frame in Mediterranean Spain, Italy, and the Balkan Peninsula.

Comment

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.5°x0.5° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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