Central Asia & Russia
ISciences staff
Central Asia & Russia: Intense surplus in N ...

The forecast expects exceptional deficits in western and eastern Russia to mostly diminish, but still linger in isolated areas. Similar deficits are expected to continue northwest of Lake Baikal. Intense surplus is anticipated in regions of northern Kazakhstan and northeastern Russia, as are exceptional deficits in Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. 

Central Asia & Russia: Intense surplus in N Kazakhstan, NE Russia
Middle East
ISciences staff
Middle East: Deficits to expand in Saudi ...

The forecast anticipates exceptional deficits in Saudi Arabia, Yemen, and Oman to broaden in size. Similar deficits are expected to continue throughout Iran, as well as arise in Iraq and Turkey. Western Yemen is expected to experience exceptional surplus. 

Middle East: Deficits to expand in Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Oman
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: Surpluses persist in W & Central ...

The forecast indicates that some intense surpluses in Continental Europe will dissipate, while some will continue in western and central Europe, the Nordic Countries, and the United Kingdom. Intense deficits are anticipated in southern portions of Continental Europe.

Europe: Surpluses persist in W & Central Europe, Nordic Countries
South America
ISciences staff
South America: Intense deficits continue ...

The forecast anticipates exceptional deficits to remain widespread throughout Brazil, as well as in pockets throughout the Bolivarian Nations. Some surplus is expected to intensify in eastern coastal regions of Brazil. 

South America: Intense deficits continue throughout Brazil, Bolivarian Nations
Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib
ISciences staff
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: ...

The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will decrease in size throughout Mexico, but remain in northwestern and eastern parts of the country. Similarly intense deficits are expected to arise in portions of Guatemala and Honduras.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Exceptional deficits remain in NW, E Mexico

Piaui

South America: Intense water deficits forecast for Suriname & French Guiana

South America: Intense water deficits forecast for Suriname & French Guiana

The forecast through May indicates that water deficits in Brazil will shrink and downgrade significantly, though intense deficits are forecast for eastern Minas Gerais, Espíritu Santo, and São Paulo. Surpluses will emerge in northeastern states and will moderate but increase in the south. Exceptional deficits are forecast for Suriname and French Guiana, and deficits of varying intensity for Brazil’s northern neighbors, and Peru, Chile, eastern Bolivia, and Argentina. Surpluses will shrink in northern Bolivia, downgrade in central Paraguay, and moderate in northeastern Argentina and Uruguay.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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