Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surpluses spread ...

Severe to exceptional surpluses will remain throughout Queensland. Exceptional deficits will occur in portions of Victoria, Western Australia, Tasmania, and New Zealand. 

Australia & New Zealand: Surpluses spread throughout Queensland
East Asia
ISciences staff
East Asia: Deficits continue in NW China, ...

Exceptional deficits will occur in northwestern and southeastern China, widespread throughout the Yangtze River Basin. Isolated pockets of surplus will affect portions of central and northeastern China. 

East Asia: Deficits continue in NW China, Yangtze River Basin
Southeast Asia & Pacific
ISciences staff
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Deficits ...

Exceptional surpluses throughout Maritime Southeast Asia will mostly diminish, though pockets of severe to exceptional deficits will persist in portions of the Philippines, Indonesia, Papua, West Papua, and New Guinea. 

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Deficits persist in Maritime SE Asia
South Asia
ISciences staff
South Asia: Deficits remain in Afghanistan, ...

Exceptional surpluses in India will mostly dissipate, transitioning to moderate to severe surpluses. Exceptional deficits will remain in Afghanistan and Pakistan. 

South Asia: Deficits remain in Afghanistan, Pakistan, surpluses persist in India
Central Asia & Russia
ISciences staff
Central Asia & Russia: Deficits to occur in ...

Exceptional deficits will persist in regions east of Lake Baikal, northern coastal Russia, and regions of Central Asia and European Russia. Surpluses are expected to continue in isolated portions of northern Kazakhstan and central Russia. 

Central Asia & Russia: Deficits to occur in Buryatia, Central Asia, European Russia

Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus will persist in Sonora MX

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus will persist in Sonora MX

The forecast through June indicates that water surpluses will persist in northwestern Mexico and around Monterrey in Nuevo Leon. Deficits will persist in southeastern Chihuahua. Surpluses will shrink but persist in pockets of Central America.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus in Sonora, MX & Central America

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus in Sonora, MX & Central America

The forecast through May indicates intense water surpluses in Sonora, Mexico, and surpluses of varying intensity in many regions of Central America. Deficits will increase in Chihuahua and Coahuila in northern Mexico and in the eastern Yucatan.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Exceptional water deficits will emerge in Guerrero & Michoacán

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Exceptional water deficits will emerge in Guerrero & Michoacán

The forecast through April indicates intense water surpluses in northeastern Sonora, Mexico. Exceptional deficits will emerge in Guerrero and Michoacán. Surpluses will shrink but persist in Central America and deficits in the Caribbean will nearly disappear.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus in Sonora & Central America

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus in Sonora & Central America

The forecast through March 2020 indicates intense water surpluses in Sonora, Mexico, and intense deficits along Mexico’s Pacific Coast in Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, and Chiapas. Deficits will persist in Veracruz State, reaching inland, and emerge in the Yucatán. Surpluses are forecast in Central America, Haiti’s western coast, and the central Bahamas.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus forecast for Central America

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus forecast for Central America

Through January 2020 deficits around Mexico’s Gulf Coast will shrink considerably but severe anomalies will persist in northern Veracruz State and nearby. Surpluses are forecast in Nuevo León State in the northeast, Mexico’s central Pacific Coast, the Federal District, small pockets in the south, and throughout much of Central America.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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