*Water Watch Lists
ISciences staff
ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List October ...

This month’s In Focus highlights:
- El Niño Nears Its Peak
- Ethiopia: Conflict and Crop Failure in the North
- India’s Lopsided Monsoon

*Water Watch Lists
ISciences staff
ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List June 2025

The forecast through February 2026 expects deficits in Central and Eastern Europe, Central Asia, and the Levant. Surpluses are expected in the western Amazon, the Sahel and southern Africa, and northeastern Australia.

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List June 2025
Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surpluses spread ...

Severe to exceptional surpluses will remain throughout Queensland. Exceptional deficits will occur in portions of Victoria, Western Australia, Tasmania, and New Zealand. 

Australia & New Zealand: Surpluses spread throughout Queensland
East Asia
ISciences staff
East Asia: Deficits continue in NW China, ...

Exceptional deficits will occur in northwestern and southeastern China, widespread throughout the Yangtze River Basin. Isolated pockets of surplus will affect portions of central and northeastern China. 

East Asia: Deficits continue in NW China, Yangtze River Basin
Southeast Asia & Pacific
ISciences staff
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Deficits ...

Exceptional surpluses throughout Maritime Southeast Asia will mostly diminish, though pockets of severe to exceptional deficits will persist in portions of the Philippines, Indonesia, Papua, West Papua, and New Guinea. 

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Deficits persist in Maritime SE Asia

United States: Regionally Significant Water Anomalies Forecast in Coming Months

The continental United States is forecast to experience regionally significant water anomalies through February 2016, both deficits and surpluses:

  • Exceptional drought is forecast to persist in northern California through the Pacific Northwest; 
  • Southern California is forecast to have characteristics of both water deficits and surpluses; 
  • Exceptional water surpluses are forecast for portions of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska, Colorado, New Mexico, and Louisiana; and,
  • Severe to extreme deficits are forecast for portions of the Northeast.

Severe to Exceptional Water Deficits Forecast for Indian Monsoon Season

Severe to exceptional water deficits are forecast during the South Asian Monsoon season for large portions of India, particularly in the north in Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand, and in a central eastward swath that includes Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, and Orissa. This pattern is similar to deficits encountered during the 2014 monsoon season and, as a result, may lead to significant impacts on people, agriculture, and industry.

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List June 2015

Regions likely to encounter significant water anomalies in the coming months include: United States, Central America and Northern South America, Europe, Coastal West Africa, South Asia, and Southeast Asia and the Pacific. This watch list is based on ISciences' Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 12 June 2015.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

For more information contact info@isciences.com.

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