*Water Watch Lists
ISciences staff
ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List October ...

This month’s In Focus highlights:
- El Niño Nears Its Peak
- Ethiopia: Conflict and Crop Failure in the North
- India’s Lopsided Monsoon

*Water Watch Lists
ISciences staff
ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List June 2025

The forecast through February 2026 expects deficits in Central and Eastern Europe, Central Asia, and the Levant. Surpluses are expected in the western Amazon, the Sahel and southern Africa, and northeastern Australia.

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List June 2025
Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surpluses spread ...

Severe to exceptional surpluses will remain throughout Queensland. Exceptional deficits will occur in portions of Victoria, Western Australia, Tasmania, and New Zealand. 

Australia & New Zealand: Surpluses spread throughout Queensland
East Asia
ISciences staff
East Asia: Deficits continue in NW China, ...

Exceptional deficits will occur in northwestern and southeastern China, widespread throughout the Yangtze River Basin. Isolated pockets of surplus will affect portions of central and northeastern China. 

East Asia: Deficits continue in NW China, Yangtze River Basin
Southeast Asia & Pacific
ISciences staff
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Deficits ...

Exceptional surpluses throughout Maritime Southeast Asia will mostly diminish, though pockets of severe to exceptional deficits will persist in portions of the Philippines, Indonesia, Papua, West Papua, and New Guinea. 

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Deficits persist in Maritime SE Asia

Southern Africa: Severe-to-Exceptional Water Deficits to Spread and Intensify through January 2016

Severe to exceptional water deficits in southern and central Angola are forecast to continue through January 2016. The deficits spread to Namibia in June, decreasing in intensity in Northern Namibia in October but remaining exceptional in Southern Namibia through January 2016.

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Severe to Exceptional Water Deficits through January 2016

Moderate to severe water deficits are forecast to continue in much of Southeast Asia and the Pacific through January 2016, with portions of central Vietnam and Southern Thailand being hit the hardest.

Temperature and Precipitation Outlook for June 2015

Most of the world's land surface is forecast to have above normal temperatures in June 2015.  Extreme warm anomalies are forecast for the west coasts of Central and South America and portions of the Sahel and Egypt.  Cool anomalies are forecast for Texas, central Mexico. Cool extremes are forecast for central Africa. 

Wet anomalies are forecast for Southwest United States, Northwest Mexico, Western and Southern Brazil, Turkey, and portions of Western Australia.  Dry anomalies are forecast for Northern South America, Northern India, Southeast Asia, and the Philippines.

Coastal West Africa: Exceptional Water Deficits through Oct 2015

40-year and greater water deficits are forecast for Coastal West Africa starting in July 2015 and continuing through October 2015, with some areas remaining in exceptional deficit status through the end of the year. These deficits will affect the coastal regions of Liberia, Ivory Coast, Ghana, Togo, Benin, Nigeria, and Cameroon. Although monthly deficits decline after October 2015, no recovery is expected, on an annual basis, until sometime after January 2016.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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