Water surpluses are forecast to persist along rivers in Kazakhstan through March, though a transition to both deficits and surpluses is forecast January through March as abnormal to moderate deficits begin to emerge across the country. Moderate to severe deficits in Turkmenistan and parts of Uzbekistan are expected to persist through September, diminish in October, after which moderate deficits will re-emerge throughout both countries in November. A vast expanse of moderate to exceptional water deficits are forecast through September across northern Russia from the White Sea through much of the Central Siberian Plateau. Surpluses are forecast in the Ob River Basin during this period which are expected to be especially widespread and severe in October.
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Exceptional water surpluses are forecast to persist through November or longer in north central Kazakhstan; northeast of the Caspian Sea; along rivers elsewhere in Kazakhstan; and the Volga River Basin in Russia. Surpluses of varying severity are also forecast for northern Kyrgyzstan. Deficits in Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan are expected to persist but with diminished severity after August. Moderate to severe water deficits are forecast to emerge in Kazakhstan from September through February.
Exceptional water surpluses are forecast in north central Kazakhstan; farther west between the Ural and Emba Rivers northeast of the Caspian Sea; and, along rivers elsewhere in Kazakhstan. Exceptional surpluses are also forecast in Russia in an area northwest of Kazakhstan, from the Volga River through the Ural Mountains. Water deficits are expected in Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, western Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan.