The forecast through October indicates that water deficits will shrink and downgrade overall in Europe but remain widespread and intense in Finland. Deficits will moderate in central Europe, the Baltics, and Belarus, but intense pockets are forecast in southern Germany; Poland near Kraków; Germany near Dresden and Munich; coastal Norway; and central and northern Sweden. Surpluses are forecast for Ireland, United Kingdom, northern European Russia, and pockets in Italy and the Balkans.
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Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period from May 2019 through April 2020 include: Canada, French Guiana, Chile, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Egypt, Libya, Uzbekistan, and New Caledonia. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: the United States, Syria, southern Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Bangladesh, and southeastern China. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 5 August 2019