The forecast through June indicates widespread water deficits across North Africa with large areas of exceptional deficit, but deficits in the Horn will shrink and downgrade. Areas of surplus include Nigeria, Sudan, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Tanzania, and Zambia.
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Nigeria
The forecast through January 2021 indicates that water deficits in Africa will shrink and downgrade considerably. Exceptional deficits are forecast in Nigeria’s eastern Middle Belt States and southern Cameroon. Surpluses will persist in the Sahel and will shrink in East Africa.
The forecast through December indicates that water deficits in North Africa will moderate though some large pockets of exceptional deficit are expected in the western Sahara Desert. Surpluses are forecast in the Sahel, East Africa, northern Somalia, and pockets of South Africa.
Through January 2020 deficits will shrink and downgrade considerably, though intense deficits are expected in coastal Mauritania, eastern South Africa, and Lesotho. Surpluses will increase in East Africa and in nations along the northern shore of the Gulf of Guinea, with exceptional anomalies in central Nigeria and extreme and widespread surpluses in Tanzania.