The forecast through August 2019 indicates that water surpluses will shrink in southern Quebec. Some surpluses are forecast near Toronto and Montreal, deficits from Regina to Winnipeg, and intense deficits in southern Vancouver Island. Exceptional deficits will persist along Ontario’s eastern border and in large pockets of Quebec, Manitoba, and Saskatchewan. Surpluses will increase in Newfoundland and Labrador and persist in a large block spanning the northern Alberta-Saskatchewan border.
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The major changes forecast through May are that exceptional water deficits will shrink in Quebec though large pockets will persist, and widespread surpluses in Northern Ontario will transition to deficit. As for major population areas, intense deficits are forecast for Southern Ontario and through southern Quebec; near Vancouver, British Columbia; near Winnipeg, Manitoba; and surrounding Regina, Saskatchewan. Deficits of varying intensity are forecast in many parts of the country. In British Columbia, surpluses will increase in the southeast and transition to deficit in the southwest.
Through December, exceptional water deficits in the east will shrink somewhat, and moderate to severe surpluses will emerge in much of northern Ontario with intense deficits in the northwest. Deficits will diminish considerably in the southern portions of the Prairie Provinces, though moderate deficits will linger in southern Manitoba and will emerge along the North Saskatchewan River. Elsewhere in the west the pattern of anomalies will remain much the same as in the prior three months.