A return to normal water conditions is forecast for Southeast China from April through June – a change from surpluses observed in prior months. Deficits are forecast to emerge in South Korea, Japan, Northeast China, the Shandong Peninsula, Henan, and Shaanxi. Severe to exceptional deficits will persist in southern Mongolia, western Inner Mongolia, the Tarim Basin and eastern Dzungaria regions of southern Xinjiang, and southern Liaoning. Surpluses are forecast for northern Sichuan and much of Qinghai. The forecast for July through September indicates the persistence of deficits in western Inner Mongolia and Mongolia, and the emergence of deficits in the Sichuan Basin.
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Regions likely to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period from January 2017 through December 2017 include: Arkansas and Florida (US), Quebec (Canada), Brazil, Finland, Estonia, Denmark, Libya, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Tamil Nadu (India), Borneo, and New Guinea. Water surpluses are forecast for: Idaho and the Pacific Northwest (US), southwestern Zambia, the Okavango Delta (Botswana), northeastern Pakistan, between the Irtysh and Tom Rivers (Russia), central Vietnam, and eastern Queensland (Australia). This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 7 April 2017.