Regions likely to encounter significant water anomalies in the coming months include: United States, Mexico, Central America, the Caribbean, South America, Europe, Coastal West Africa, Southern Africa, Tanzania, Iran, South Asia, Southeast Asia and the Pacific. This watch list is based on ISciences' Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 8 July 2015.
Global Temperature and Precipitation Outlook for July 2015 #temperature #precipitation #forecast #cfsv2 #elnino
Exceptionally high temperatures are expected to dominate the global outlook for July 2015, including: Western US and Canada; Central America, west coast of South America, and Brazil; much of Europe; southern Africa; northeast India and Myanmar; Indonesia and Malaysia; and, northeast Siberia. The July outlook for global precipitation shows both exceptional surpluses and deficits. Surpluses are expected in: the US Southwest and Central Plains; northwestern Mexico; Western Amazonia and southern Brazil; and, northern Australia. Dryness is forecast for: southern Mexico; parts of Central America; parts of northern South America; Central and Eastern Europe; the Horn of Africa and Yemen; Indonesia, Malaysia, Papua Guinea, and the Philippines; and, northern China.
Update: Water Forecast for the Horn of Africa Moderates #water #drought #Yemen #Ethiopia #Somalia
The current forecast for the 3-month period ending in October 2015 (below right) indicates that deficits in many areas of the Horn may be widespread and severe with pockets of exceptional deficits in Yemen. However, the large areas of exceptional deficits indicated in the prior forecast (below left) are no longer expected.