The December 2016 Precipitation & Temperature Outlook indicates that many parts of South Asia, East Asia, and Southeast Asia are forecast to be much warmer than normal. Significant dry anomalies are expected to envelope Sri Lanka. Wet anomalies are forecast for Kazakhstan, northern Mongolia, Myanmar, the Malaysian Peninsula, Western Australia, Cameroon, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, and Venezuela.
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Regions likely to encounter significant water deficits in the coming months include: Southern California, northern Brazil, Zambia, South Africa, southern Namibia, Thailand, the Malay Peninsula, and the island of Timor. Water surpluses are forecast for: East Africa, northern Kazakhstan, Southeast China, western Borneo, and western Java. This watch list is based on ISciences' Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 9 May 2016.
The Outlook for May 2016 includes the forecast of exceptional precipitation in Venezuela's Orinoco watershed. Much hotter than average temperatures are forecast to dominate much of Southeast Asia and Indonesia, along with many other parts of the world.
In February dry anomalies are forecast for northern Brazil, western Colombia, central Ecuador, Peru, Chile, the Middle East, and coastal West Africa. Precipitation surpluses are forecast from Ireland eastward through much of Russia. Warm anomalies are forecast across much of Europe, Russia and Indonesia, along with parts of Central and South America.
Regions likely to encounter significant water deficits in the coming months include: much of Canada, the Mississippi Valley, US; southern Mexico; northern Brazil; Mediterranean Europe; North Africa, coastal West Africa, southern Africa; western Turkey; and Southeast Asia. Significant water surpluses are forecast for: the Southern Plains, US; central Argentina; Uganda, Kenya, and Tanzania; southeast India; and northwestern Australia. This watch list is based on ISciences' Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 6 January 2016.
Global Temperature and Precipitation Outlook for July 2015 #temperature #precipitation #forecast #cfsv2 #elnino
Exceptionally high temperatures are expected to dominate the global outlook for July 2015, including: Western US and Canada; Central America, west coast of South America, and Brazil; much of Europe; southern Africa; northeast India and Myanmar; Indonesia and Malaysia; and, northeast Siberia. The July outlook for global precipitation shows both exceptional surpluses and deficits. Surpluses are expected in: the US Southwest and Central Plains; northwestern Mexico; Western Amazonia and southern Brazil; and, northern Australia. Dryness is forecast for: southern Mexico; parts of Central America; parts of northern South America; Central and Eastern Europe; the Horn of Africa and Yemen; Indonesia, Malaysia, Papua Guinea, and the Philippines; and, northern China.
The current forecast for the 3-month period ending in October 2015 (below right) indicates that deficits in many areas of the Horn may be widespread and severe with pockets of exceptional deficits in Yemen. However, the large areas of exceptional deficits indicated in the prior forecast (below left) are no longer expected.
The current forecast for Iran for the 6-month period ending in November 2015 has moderated relative to last month’s forecast. The revised forecast calls for widespread severe to exceptional deficits, but is generally less dire than the broad region of exceptional deficits in the prior forecast.