Exceptional water deficits may dominate North Africa through July 2016 with both deficits and surpluses in some areas. Deficits may persist in coastal West Africa, Southern Africa, western Madagascar, and northern Ethiopia. Exceptional surpluses are expected in East Africa, particularly in Kenya and Tanzania.
Europe: Water deficits may transition to surpluses in Central Europe
Overall, water deficits may dominate much of Continental Europe, while surpluses may continue in Ireland, Scotland, and northern Sweden. Deficits are expected to diminish in extent and severity over the next few months, and then transition to moderate surpluses in Central Europe, particularly Germany.
South America: Exceptional water deficits forecast for northern Brazil, surpluses in the south
Exceptional water deficits may persist across northern Brazil, coastal Peru, western Bolivia, and northern and southern Chile. Surpluses are forecast for Paraguay, southern Brazil, Uruguay, and Argentina, and are expected to increase in extent and severity with exceptional surpluses in central Argentina.
Mexico & Central America: Water deficits may persist in Mexico, with greatest severity in the south
Water deficits may continue to emerge throughout much of Mexico with greatest severity and extent in southern Mexico. Surpluses may persist in the northwest along the conjoined borders of Sonora and Chihuahua, and in the eastern Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered deficits and some surpluses are forecast in Central America.