While water surpluses may persist in northeastern Afghanistan, Nepal, Bangladesh, and Sri Lanka, the remainder of South Asia is expected to experience water deficits. Of particular interest are the widespread and exceptional water deficits forecast for much of India November 2015 through January 2016.
Middle East: Widespread water deficits predicted across the Arabian Peninsula and Iran
The forecast indicates a predominance of moderate to exceptional water deficits across much of the Middle East through July 2016. Though exceptional deficits on the Arabian Peninsula, in southern Iraq, and in southern Iran are expected to diminish in severity over the next several months, they may regain strength and spread throughout much of the Middle East thereafter. In Turkey, deficits in the west may persist, while surpluses in the east may eventually transition to deficits.
Africa: Water deficits may persist in southern Africa, exceptional surpluses in East Africa
Exceptional water deficits may dominate North Africa through July 2016 with both deficits and surpluses in some areas. Deficits may persist in coastal West Africa, Southern Africa, western Madagascar, and northern Ethiopia. Exceptional surpluses are expected in East Africa, particularly in Kenya and Tanzania.
Europe: Water deficits may transition to surpluses in Central Europe
Overall, water deficits may dominate much of Continental Europe, while surpluses may continue in Ireland, Scotland, and northern Sweden. Deficits are expected to diminish in extent and severity over the next few months, and then transition to moderate surpluses in Central Europe, particularly Germany.
South America: Exceptional water deficits forecast for northern Brazil, surpluses in the south
Exceptional water deficits may persist across northern Brazil, coastal Peru, western Bolivia, and northern and southern Chile. Surpluses are forecast for Paraguay, southern Brazil, Uruguay, and Argentina, and are expected to increase in extent and severity with exceptional surpluses in central Argentina.