The forecast through December 2016 indicates the presence of persistent water deficits across northern Australia and in Victoria, Tasmania, and North Island, New Zealand. A transition from moderate deficits to moderate surpluses in easternmost tributaries of the Darling and Murray Rivers forecast beginning in August.
Europe: Water deficits forecast to persist in Mediterranean Europe, emerge in Baltics & Scandinavia
Water deficits are forecast to persist in parts of Mediterranean Europe, especially southern Spain, Sardinia, Sicily, southern Greece, and Crete. Central and Eastern Europe will transition from surplus to deficits, with the exception of eastern Hungary, which will remain wet. Deficits are forecast for Northern Europe, including Finland, Sweden, the Baltics, and later on, Norway.
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits to persist on Baja, continue to emerge in Southern Mexico, Guatemala
Water deficits are forecast to persist on the Baja Peninsula and will continue to emerge in southern Mexico. Moderate surpluses are forecast in Sonora. In Central America deficits are forecast in Guatemala, El Salvador, southern Honduras, western Nicaragua, and eastern Panama. In the Caribbean dry conditions are forecast for Haiti; surpluses in central Cuba will persist through the spring months.
South Asia: Moderate water surpluses forecast across India, deficits in the south
East Asia: Water surpluses to persist in SE China, deficits in the NE & Mongolia
Moderate to exceptional water surpluses are forecast to persist in southeast China. Moderate to exceptional deficits are forecast for northeast China, exceptional deficits in Mongolia, and both deficits and surpluses are forecast in western regions of China including the Tibetan Plateau. Surpluses are expected on the Yangtze River in April and on the Yellow River in June.