Intense water deficits will persist in many parts of the region through October after which conditions will moderate overall. For the next several months, exceptional deficits are forecast for Saudi Arabia, southern Iraq, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, and southern Iran. Conditions in Gaza and Israel will be fairly intense as well and severe deficits are forecast for West Bank, Yemen, western Oman, Qatar, and western Iraq. Deficits of varying severity are forecast for Turkey and Georgia.
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Widespread exceptional deficits are expected to moderate considerably through March, but intense deficits will continue to emerge in southeastern Turkey, Syria, Jordan, northern Saudi Arabia, and Iraq. Moderate to severe deficits are forecast throughout Iran. Deficits in Qatar, UAE, and Yemen will downgrade to primarily moderate. After March, deficits on the Arabian Peninsula are expected to resume prior intensity and deficits will emerge throughout Turkey and in nearby Georgia, Armenia, and Azerbaijan, completing a picture of deficits blanketing the entire Middle East.
The outlook for October 2015 indicates exceptionally hotter than normal conditions forecast for many areas of the world, with abnormally to moderately warmer temperatures for most of the remaining land area. Exceptionally drier than normal conditions are expected in parts of northern South America, Malaysia, and Indonesia, while wetter than normal conditions are forecast for the central US, northern Mexico, parts of East Africa, Turkey and eastward, Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, Vietnam, and Hainan, China.