Europe: Transition ahead from water deficits to surpluses

Water deficits may persist in much of Europe through October, with the exception of Ireland, the United Kingdom, and northern Sweden. The forecast, however, indicates a transition to surpluses in many areas of Western and Central Europe from November 2015 through May 2016. In contrast, water deficits are expected during this time-frame in Mediterranean Spain, Italy, and the Balkan Peninsula.

Canada: Widespread water deficits with large pockets of exceptional deficits

Widespread water deficits with large pockets of exceptional deficits are expected in Canada’s Central Plains, and eastern Ontario into Quebec. Deficits from British Columbia to Manitoba may persist through May. Deficits in Ontario and Quebec may increase in extent and severity March through May. 

China, Mongolia, South Korea, Japan: Drought in Northern China, Mongolia, S. Korea; Flooding in Japan

Widespread deficits may continue in North China and Mongolia. Widespread surpluses are forecast for Southeast China and southern Honshu, Japan. Deficits are forecast for northern Honshu and for Hokkaido, Japan. Exceptional deficits may persist in South Korea before diminishing somewhat in severity beginning in February 2016.

United States: Numerous regionally significant water anomalies ahead

Water deficits may dominate the northern US from the Pacific Northwest eastward through Minnesota in the coming months, with surpluses in the Upper Mississippi. The forecast for California indicates a transition from deficits to surpluses by February. Surpluses may persist in the Central and Southern Plains and along Mississippi River tributaries. Extensive deficits are forecast March through May from the central Gulf Coast region northward through the Great Lakes region.

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List September 2015

Regions likely to encounter significant water anomalies in the coming months include: California, the US Central and Southern Plains, Canada's Central Plains, Southern Mexico,  Central America, northern Brazil, Argentina, Southern Africa, Tanzania, the Arabian Peninsula, Borneo, and New Guinea.This Watch List is based on ISciences' Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 9 September 2015.