Widespread moderate to extreme deficits are forecast for Montana, Wyoming, North Dakota, Minnesota, Michigan, much of the Mississippi Valley, and New England. Surpluses are forecast for the Southern Plains, east Texas, and southern Florida. Both deficits and surpluses are expected in in the Pacific Northwest, and parts of the Southeast.
Warm anomalies are forecast for Canada, Central America, northern South America, southern Africa and the Horn, South Asia, Southeast Asia and the Pacific. Wet anomalies are expected in Florida, Mexico, Paraguay, Argentina, East Africa, and the UK. Regions forecast to be drier than normal include Canada's Western Plains, Peru, and eastern Borneo.
The 12-month forecast through August 2016 indicates water deficits across the northern US from eastern Oregon to Maine, with greatest severity in the Great Lakes Region. Widespread and severe deficits are also forecast in the Mississippi Valley from Minnesota to the Gulf of Mexico. Surpluses are forecast in California, the Southern Plains, and in the Southeast. Both deficits and surpluses are expected in Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and East Texas.
Regions likely to encounter significant water deficits in the coming months include: the Mississippi Valley, US; southern Mexico; northern Brazil; North Africa, coastal West Africa, southern Africa; Mediterranean Europe; the Arabian Peninsula; and Southeast Asia. Significant water surpluses are forecast for: the Southern Plains and Florida, US; central Argentina; Tanzania and Kenya; southeast India; and southeast China. This watch list is based on ISciences' Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 8 December 2015.
Continuing a pattern established in previous months, warm temperature anomalies are forecast for December in many parts of the world, particularly Ontario, Quebec, the Great Lakes, Central America, Caribbean, Brazil's Amazon, India, Southeast Asia, and Indonesia. Dry anomalies are expected in northern Brazil. Exceptionally wet anomalies are expected in South Sudan and surrounding regions.
Water deficits are forecast in the North, through the Great Lakes region and Midwest, and south to the Gulf. Both surpluses and deficits are expected in California. Surpluses are forecast in: Oklahoma, Texas, Virginia, and the Carolinas, with some areas experiencing both deficits and surpluses.
Regions likely to encounter significant water deficits in the coming months include: southern Mexico, northern Brazil, North Africa, coastal West Africa, southern Africa, the Arabian Peninsula, Western Russia, and Southeast Asia. Significant water surpluses are forecast for: southern South America, East Africa, and Southwest China. This watch list is based on ISciences' Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 9 November 2015.
The Outlook for November 2015 indicates much hotter than normal temperatures for the Eastern half of the United States, Caribbean, Mexico, Central America, northern South America, Western Europe, Scandinavia, India, China, Southeast Asia, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Japan, and Australia. Dry conditions are expected in northern Brazil. Eastern Europe may be drier than normal, particularly Romania and Bulgaria. Wetter than normal conditions are forecast for: Southeast US, parts of East Africa, Central Asia, and China.
Water deficits are forecast in the US Northwest and eastward through the Great Lakes region for the 12-month period ending June 2016. California may transition to moderate surpluses. Surpluses are also forecast in the Central and Southern Plains and in Virginia. Moderate to exceptional deficits are expected in southern Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi, with both deficits and surpluses emerging in central Louisiana.
Regions likely to encounter significant water anomalies in the coming months include: United States, Mexico, Central America, South America, Europe, Iran, Coastal West Africa, Southern Africa, Tanzania, Southeast Asia and the Pacific, Australia. This watch list is based on ISciences' Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 9 October 2015.