Warm anomalies are forecast for Canada, Central America, northern South America, southern Africa and the Horn, South Asia, Southeast Asia and the Pacific. Wet anomalies are expected in Florida, Mexico, Paraguay, Argentina, East Africa, and the UK. Regions forecast to be drier than normal include Canada's Western Plains, Peru, and eastern Borneo.
China, Mongolia, & the Korean Peninsula: Widespread surpluses forecast for Southeast China, moderate deficits in North China
Australia: Water surpluses are forecast in the north, exceptional deficits in Tasmania and Victoria
The forecast through August 2016 indicates a predominance of water surpluses in the north and along central rivers. Exceptional drought is forecast to persist in Tasmania, Victoria, southern South Australia, and from Perth southward for much of the forecast period. The persistence of moderate drought in northern South Island, New Zealand and in North Island is also in the forecast.
Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits forecast to persist in Southeast Asia, eastern Borneo, New Guinea
Moderate to exceptional water deficits are forecast through August 2016 for many parts of Southeast Asia and the Pacific in the coming months, diminishing in the later months. Deficits are expected to be most persistent, widespread, and severe in Southeast Asia, eastern Borneo, and the island of New Guinea.
South Asia: Exceptional deficits forecast across much of India through February; notable surpluses in southeastern India
The forecast through August 2016 indicates water deficits in southern Afghanistan, Pakistan, and most of India, with some areas experiencing both deficits and surpluses. Notable surpluses are forecast in southeastern India. Surpluses are also forecast for Sri Lanka, northeastern Afghanistan, Nepal, and Bangladesh.