Water surpluses forecast in southern British Columbia and northern Saskatchewan through April. Widespread deficits throughout the county May through September with pockets of exceptional deficits in British Columbia, Alberta, Manitoba, Ontario, and Quebec.
Mexico, Central America & the Caribbean: Water deficits to persist in southern Mexico, and emerge later in Central America and Jamaica
Water deficits are forecast to emerge on the Baja Peninsula and will continue to emerge in southern Mexico with exceptional severity. Surpluses will re-emerge in Sonora and persist in the eastern Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, and central Cuba. Abnormal to severe deficits will emerge in much of Central America by July and in Jamaica by August.
Africa: Water deficits forecast across the northwest, coastal West Africa, and southern Africa; surpluses in East Africa
Water deficits are forecast to dominate Northwest Africa, coastal West Africa and southern Africa through October 2016. Exceptional surpluses are expected in East Africa, particularly in Uganda, Kenya and Tanzania. Surpluses are forecast to emerge in Ethiopia, Sudan, and the Sahel during the latter portion of the forecast period.
South America: Exceptional water deficits are forecast to persist across northern South America, surpluses in Argentina
Exceptional water deficits are forecast to persist across northern South America through October 2016. Portions of Venezuela may transition from deficits to exceptional surpluses, then back to deficits. Severe to exceptional surpluses are forecast for southern Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay, and Argentina and are expected to increase in extent throughout the forecast period.
United States: Water deficits to emerge this Spring in Ohio and lower Mississippi Valleys first, then Montana, North Dakota, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and throughout the Northeast.
Widespread moderate to extreme deficits are forecast for Montana, Wyoming, North Dakota, Minnesota, Michigan, much of the Mississippi Valley, and New England. Surpluses are forecast for the Southern Plains, east Texas, and southern Florida. Both deficits and surpluses are expected in in the Pacific Northwest, and parts of the Southeast.