Water deficits are forecast to continue emerging in Mexico with greatest severity in the south. Surpluses are forecast to persist in the Yucatan Peninsula and re-emerge in Sonora. Moderate deficits are forecast to persist in southern Guatemala; some scattered surpluses are forecast elsewhere in Central America.
United States: Winter water surpluses in Midwest transition to deficits across north and in the Mississippi Valley beginning in Spring
Widespread moderate to extreme deficits are forecast for Montana, Wyoming, Michigan, much of the Mississippi Valley, and New England. Surpluses are forecast for the Southern Plains, east Texas, coastal North and South Carolina, and eastern Florida. Both deficits and surpluses are expected in the Pacific Northwest, the Southeast, Missouri and Arkansas.
Canada: Widespread water deficits forecast with excecptional deficits in BC, AB, MB, ON, QC, NB, and NL
Snow Water Equivalent Forecast: Spring snow pack deficits forecast for western Canada, US northern plains, and Western Russia
Large regions of exceptional “snow drought” are reported in the northeast United States, southern Canada, the Italian Alps, and much of Eastern Europe and western Russia, along with large snow surpluses in the western US, Central Russia, and Mongolia. In the first quarter of 2016, much of the snow surplus in the western US is forecast to transition to deficit, and extensive snow deficits are forecast to emerge in western Canada.
ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List January 2016
Regions likely to encounter significant water deficits in the coming months include: much of Canada, the Mississippi Valley, US; southern Mexico; northern Brazil; Mediterranean Europe; North Africa, coastal West Africa, southern Africa; western Turkey; and Southeast Asia. Significant water surpluses are forecast for: the Southern Plains, US; central Argentina; Uganda, Kenya, and Tanzania; southeast India; and northwestern Australia. This watch list is based on ISciences' Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 6 January 2016.