Water deficits in the region are forecast to persist with particular severity in Thailand and Malaysia through January 2017. Surpluses dominate the forecast for southern Borneo and West Java. Deficits are forecast on the island of Timor from June through October and may be widespread and exceptional July through September.
The forecast continues to indicate widespread and in many areas exceptional water deficits across northern South America, particularly in the Amazon Basin. Water surpluses are forecast May through July in Venezuela’s Orinoco and Caroni River Basins and in much of Guyana. Water surpluses will persist in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil; Uruguay; and central Argentina.
Regions likely to encounter significant water deficits in the coming months include: Southern California, northern Brazil, Zambia, South Africa, southern Namibia, Thailand, the Malay Peninsula, and the island of Timor. Water surpluses are forecast for: East Africa, northern Kazakhstan, Southeast China, western Borneo, and western Java. This watch list is based on ISciences' Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 9 May 2016.