Water deficits in the region are forecast to persist with particular severity in Thailand and Malaysia through January 2017. Surpluses dominate the forecast for southern Borneo and West Java. Deficits are forecast on the island of Timor from June through October and may be widespread and exceptional July through September.
United States: Severe water deficits to emerge in the Northeast, East Coast, Upper Midwest
The overall outlook for much of the United States indicates only moderate water anomalies for much of the country. However the forecast for May through July includes the emergence of some severe deficits in the Northeast, along the East Coast, and in the Upper Midwest which will persist through October. Exceptional water deficits will also persist in much of southern California and southwestern Arizona. Severe to exceptional surpluses are forecast in northeastern Nevada and across the border into Idaho, eastern Texas, parts of Nebraska, scattered pockets in the Northwest, south-central Alaska, and the western half of the island of Hawaii.
East Asia: Water surpluses persist in SE China, will emerge in Henan & eastward
Widespread moderate to exceptional water surpluses are forecast to persist in southeast China and the Yangtze River. Surpluses are also forecast along the Yellow River beginning in May, which may become extreme in June. A transition to moderate deficits is forecast for southeast China in the later months. Moderate deficits are forecast in Mongolia, and both deficits and surpluses are forecast in western regions of China including the Tibetan Plateau.
Africa: Water deficits to persist in southern Africa, surpluses in Ethiopia, Kenya, Tanzania
South Asia: India transitioning to water surplus in western midsection, Ganges Basin, & Chennai
The forecast indicates a transition in India from widespread and exceptional water deficits throughout the country to surpluses in India’s western midsection, in the Ganges Basin, and near Chennai. Surpluses are also forecast in India’s northernmost states and in much of Bangladesh. In general, water surpluses are forecast for eastern Afghanistan and deficits in the west. Deficits are expected to persist in southern Pakistan, and both deficits and surpluses are expected in the north.