Many parts of Southeast Asia and the Pacific may continue to experience moderate to exceptional water deficits in the coming months, particularly southern Sumatra, Java, Borneo and neighboring Sulawesi, and New Guinea.
South America: Exceptional water deficits to persist across northern Brazil, surpluses in southern Brazil, Uruguay, Argentina
Exceptional water deficits may persist across northern Brazil, coastal Peru, western Bolivia, and northern Chile. Surpluses may emerge in Ecuador and northern Peru. Surpluses are also forecast for central Paraguay, southern Brazil, Uruguay, and Argentina and are expected to increase in extent and severity with widespread exceptional surpluses.
United States: Water deficits persist in the Northwest, moderate surpluses forecast for California
Water deficits are forecast in the US Northwest and eastward through the Great Lakes region for the 12-month period ending June 2016. California may transition to moderate surpluses. Surpluses are also forecast in the Central and Southern Plains and in Virginia. Moderate to exceptional deficits are expected in southern Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi, with both deficits and surpluses emerging in central Louisiana.
Africa: Exceptional water surpluses forecast for East Africa, deficits to persist in southern Africa
Exceptional surpluses are expected in East Africa, particularly in Kenya and Tanzania. Exceptional water deficits may dominate North Africa through June 2016 with both deficits and surpluses in some areas. Deficits may persist in coastal West Africa, Southern Africa, Madagascar, and northern Ethiopia.
ISCIENCES WORLDWIDE WATER WATCH LIST OCTOBER 2015
Regions likely to encounter significant water anomalies in the coming months include: United States, Mexico, Central America, South America, Europe, Iran, Coastal West Africa, Southern Africa, Tanzania, Southeast Asia and the Pacific, Australia. This watch list is based on ISciences' Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 9 October 2015.