The 12-month forecast through August 2016 indicates water deficits across the northern US from eastern Oregon to Maine, with greatest severity in the Great Lakes Region. Widespread and severe deficits are also forecast in the Mississippi Valley from Minnesota to the Gulf of Mexico. Surpluses are forecast in California, the Southern Plains, and in the Southeast. Both deficits and surpluses are expected in Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and East Texas.
ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List December 2015
Regions likely to encounter significant water deficits in the coming months include: the Mississippi Valley, US; southern Mexico; northern Brazil; North Africa, coastal West Africa, southern Africa; Mediterranean Europe; the Arabian Peninsula; and Southeast Asia. Significant water surpluses are forecast for: the Southern Plains and Florida, US; central Argentina; Tanzania and Kenya; southeast India; and southeast China. This watch list is based on ISciences' Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 8 December 2015.
Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook for December 2015
Continuing a pattern established in previous months, warm temperature anomalies are forecast for December in many parts of the world, particularly Ontario, Quebec, the Great Lakes, Central America, Caribbean, Brazil's Amazon, India, Southeast Asia, and Indonesia. Dry anomalies are expected in northern Brazil. Exceptionally wet anomalies are expected in South Sudan and surrounding regions.
Australia: Water deficits to persist in Melbourne, Tasmania, Perth; North may transition to surplus
China, Mongolia, & the Korean Peninsula: Water surpluses in Southeast China, deficits in Northern China
Widespread water deficits may persist in North China including the North China Plain and Mongolia, with some areas experiencing both deficits and surpluses. Widespread surpluses are forecast for Southeast China, which may be of exceptional severity in Fujian, along the Pearl River (Zhujiang), and at the conjoined borders of Guizhou, Hunan, and Guangxi. Surpluses may also persist in North Korea.