Exceptional surpluses are expected in East Africa, particularly in Kenya and Tanzania. Exceptional water deficits may dominate North Africa through June 2016 with both deficits and surpluses in some areas. Deficits may persist in coastal West Africa, Southern Africa, Madagascar, and northern Ethiopia.
ISCIENCES WORLDWIDE WATER WATCH LIST OCTOBER 2015
Regions likely to encounter significant water anomalies in the coming months include: United States, Mexico, Central America, South America, Europe, Iran, Coastal West Africa, Southern Africa, Tanzania, Southeast Asia and the Pacific, Australia. This watch list is based on ISciences' Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 9 October 2015.
Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook for October 2015
The outlook for October 2015 indicates exceptionally hotter than normal conditions forecast for many areas of the world, with abnormally to moderately warmer temperatures for most of the remaining land area. Exceptionally drier than normal conditions are expected in parts of northern South America, Malaysia, and Indonesia, while wetter than normal conditions are forecast for the central US, northern Mexico, parts of East Africa, Turkey and eastward, Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, Vietnam, and Hainan, China.
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Moderate to exceptional water deficits in the coming months
Many parts of Southeast Asia and the Pacific may continue to experience moderate to exceptional water deficits in the coming months. Deficits may be of the greatest extent and severity September through November and may persist through May, particularly in eastern Borneo and neighboring Sulawesi, the island of New Guinea, and the Philippines.
Africa: Forecast includes exceptional water surpluses in East Africa, deficits in coastal West Africa, southern Africa
The dominant water security issues of interest in Africa continue to be drought in Coastal West Africa and Southern Africa, and water surpluses in East Africa. Coastal West Africa may continue to experience deficits through May 2016, which may reach inland areas. Drought conditions in Southern Africa are forecast to moderate through November, though severe to exceptional deficits are possible December through May. Exceptional surpluses are expected in East Africa through May.