The February 2017 Outlook indicates much warmer than normal temperatures for France, Germany, United Kingdom, Scandinavia, Myanmar, and north-central Mexico, along with warm anomalies of varying severity in many other places. The Central Amazon Basin should see much wetter than normal conditions.
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Regions likely to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period from October 2016 through September 2017 include: Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, eastern Brazil, Scandinavia, Arctic Russia, northern Africa, the Arabian Peninsula, and southern India. Water surpluses are forecast for: southern Idaho, northeastern Nevada, and northwestern Utah, southern Mediterranean Spain, western European Russia, eastern Romania, Poland, Ukraine, Belarus, Lithuania, Vietnam, and Jiangsu, China. This watch list is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 9 January 2017.
Notable water deficits are forecast to persist through February in eastern Norway and in Sweden; and through May in Finland and in Russia east of the White Sea. Eastern Europe will continue a transition to water surplus which will persist through May. A wide area of water surplus is forecast to emerge March through May in Russia from the Gulf of Finland south to Ukraine.
Regions likely to encounter significant water deficits in the coming months include: the US Northeast, central Quebec (Canada), Amapá (Brazil), Chile, western Ukraine, southwest Yemen, Gujarat (India), Cambodia, Malay Peninsula, Korean Peninsula, and Shandong Peninsula (China). Water surpluses are forecast for: Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Nicaragua, central Colombia, western European Russia, Volga Basin, eastern Ganges Basin, Nepal, Bangladesh, western Myanmar, Java, Yangtze River, Fujian (China), and Murray River Basin.. This watch list is based on ISciences' Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 7 October 2016.
The Outlook for November 2015 indicates much hotter than normal temperatures for the Eastern half of the United States, Caribbean, Mexico, Central America, northern South America, Western Europe, Scandinavia, India, China, Southeast Asia, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Japan, and Australia. Dry conditions are expected in northern Brazil. Eastern Europe may be drier than normal, particularly Romania and Bulgaria. Wetter than normal conditions are forecast for: Southeast US, parts of East Africa, Central Asia, and China.